Medicare Blog

what will happen to hospital profits if medicare does switch to bundled payments

by Serena Jenkins Published 2 years ago Updated 1 year ago

In typical bundled payment models, providers and payers share in savings and losses. When actual healthcare costs fall below the lump-sum payment, both parties keep a portion of the difference as additional profit.

Full Answer

Why are participants leaving Medicare bundled payments program?

Some participants are likely to leave due to costs that the new requirements would impose on hospitals hit by the pandemic. Medicare recently told participants in its largest bundled payments program about big changes that will go into effect in less than four months.

What are Medicare bundled payments?

Bundled payments are a type of medical billing encouraged by Medicare. These payments charge you for an entire procedure or hospital stay rather than each individual service you received. Bundled payments can lower your overall costs. Medicare provides incentives to providers who use bundled payments.

When will bundled payments for hospitals start?

A new mandatory bundled payment program for hospitals may start before 2023, the previously announced time frame. Shifting to a retrospective trend in 2021 is expected to save $1.1 billion in the current bundled payments program. Many Medicare ACOs are waiting out the first year of the Direct Contracting program, an adviser says.

Can bundled payments for Care Improvement (BPCI) reduce Medicare costs?

One such idea involves innovative health care payment and service delivery models, including the Bundled Payments for Care Improvement (BPCI). BPCI was developed to potentially improve patient care and lower Medicare healthcare costs.

Will bundled payments change healthcare?

Bundled payments implemented in coordination with evidence-based pay-for-performance program. Hospital charges decreased 5%. Adherence to evidence-based process measures increased from 59% to 100%. No changes in outcome measures.

What impact does payment bundling have on health care costs?

Bundled payment is intended to decrease spending via several mechanisms: a reduction in the number of unnecessary physician services during a hospitalization, more judicious use of health care resources during the hospital stay, and a reduction in postdischarge costs, including unnecessary post–acute care services and ...

What are some potential unintended consequences of bundled payments or pay for performance programs?

Bundled payments have the potential to improve care for Medicare beneficiaries by creating incentives to improve quality, safety, and care coordination, but they may also lead to less beneficial unintended consequences such as increased volumes, avoidance of less healthy patients (who may have more to gain), and ...

Why bundled payments are a popular option for healthcare payers?

Bundled payment models remain a popular reimbursement option for payers because of opportunities to increase care quality, decrease care costs, and manage high healthcare spending.

How do bundled payments decrease overall health care expenditures?

Under bundled payment, providers assume accountability for the quality and cost of care delivered during a predetermined episode. Providers that keep costs below a risk-adjusted target price share a portion of the resulting savings, but those that exceed the target price incur financial penalties.

What risk does a health system bear when it agrees to a bundled payment?

What risk does a health system bear when it agrees to a bundled payment for hip replacement? A factor that would increase the demand for physician visits for allergies would be an increase in pollen. A change in the price of a competing product will shift demand.

What are three challenges associated with bundled payments?

The top challenges of healthcare bundled payments include achieving scale, leveraging post-acute care resources, and managing uncontrollable costs.

What are the risks of bundled care in healthcare?

The most significant potential undesired effects include underuse of effective services within the bundle, avoidance of high-risk patients, and an increase in the number of bundles reimbursed (increasing health spending).

Why did hospitals have limited incentives to reduce readmissions prior to the ACA?

Hospitals had limited incentives to reduce readmissions prior to the Affordable Care Act (ACA)because before ACA hospitals gained income for patients that were in and out of the hospital.

Are bundled payment programs growing?

Bundled Payments Will Continue to Grow Throughout 2020, the bundled payment market will continue to expand. Growth will be dictated by new CMS programs, innovative payment structures, and emerging service lines.

Are bundled payments value-based care?

To participate in value-based care, CMS has developed several models for providers, such as the accountable care organization, bundled payments, and patient-centered medical homes.

What is the difference between capitation and bundled payments?

By definition, a bundled payment holds the entire provider team accountable for achieving the outcomes that matter to patients for their condition—unlike capitation, which involves only loose accountability for patient satisfaction or population-level quality targets.

What is the BPCI Advanced?

It potentially improves patient care and lowers Medicare healthcare costs. The most recent stage in the BPCI testing model is called the BPCI Advanced. The results of the billing and payment tests suggest people are spending less time in skilled nursing facilities and getting home more quickly.

What is BPCI in Medicare?

Share on Pinterest. BPCI can potentially improve patient care and lower Medicare healthcare costs. The Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMMI), also known as the Innovation Center, works with the Centers for Medicare and Medicare Services (CMS) on developing and testing new ideas. One such idea involves innovative health care payment ...

How much did Medicare lower the cost of joint replacement?

In the first year Medicare lowered the cost of a joint replacement by an average $453. The CJR was a mandatory program for care providers. Many other bundled payment programs are voluntary for service providers. Data suggests it showed typical hospitals could improve care.

What is episode of care in BCPI?

In both BCPI models, one group or organization is responsible for all the billing and spending. When a person needs care, Medicare calls this an episode of care.

What is bundled payment?

Bundled payment is a potential new way to pay Medicare service providers. Medicare is testing the process to assess if it will improve care and reduce costs. In this article, we look at the Medicare bundled payments system, including the most recent models, and compare it to the traditional payment processes.

What is Medicare paid for?

In the traditional models, providers are paid by Medicare for each separate service given to a person during a course of treatment or a single illness. According to CMS, the traditional payment model can lead to less coordination between healthcare providers and healthcare settings.

What is the payment model for healthcare?

There are several payment models in the United States federal healthcare system. The traditional method is Fee-for-Service (FFS), where providers are paid for each healthcare service they do, including tests. Another payment method is the capitation model, in which a contract is entered by a state, a health plan, and the CMS.

What are bundled payments?

Typically, patients will pay separately for each healthcare service or item associated with a medical event. Bundled payments occur when patients pay a flat rate for medical episodes instead of being billed separately.

Responses from experts

Christine Yee, a health economist with the Partnered Evidence-Based Policy Resource Center at Boston VA Healthcare System said, “Medicare has tried bundled payments in one form or another for more than three decades. They tend to save money, and when post-acute care is included in the bundle, use of those kinds of services often goes down.”

Direct Contracting model to start next spring

The highly anticipated Direct Contracting (DC) is slated to start in April. That model allows physician groups to take 50% to 100% risk on patients. CMMI recently posted the benchmark and risk adjustment methodology data, which providers were waiting to examine before deciding whether to join.

About the Author

is based in the Washington, D.C., office. Follow Rich on Twitter: @rdalyhealthcare

When did Medicare start bundled payments?

The very first step toward bundled payments was the development of Medicare’s Inpatient Prospective Payment System (IPPS) in the 1980s, which introduced diagnosis-related group (DRG) payments. DRG payments fundamentally changed how hospitals were reimbursed. Before 1983, hospitals were reimbursed retrospectively on the basis of hospital costs incurred during a patient’s hospital stay along the fee-for-service model. With DRG payments, which are adjusted on the basis of a patient’s diagnosis and comorbidities, hospitals were given a single prospective per-discharge payment that bundled all of a facility’s costs, including room and board, nursing, and costs associated with specialized care and ancillary services. Although hospital payments could be additionally adjusted by many other factors (teaching status, Disproportionate Share Hospital status, etc), a large proportion of inpatient hospital care was paid through one bundled payment. Other payers adopted a similar payment policy shortly thereafter, and DRG payments are now the standard for facility payments for inpatient care. Implementation of the IPPS led to a slowing in the increase of Medicare spending. 8 – 10 Hospital resource use, including length of stay, also decreased after implementation of the IPPS. 11 However, the measured quality of inpatient care was not changed; mortality and readmission rates either remained the same or decreased after implementation of the IPPS. 9 Although the IPPS was a large step in bundling of medical services, it focused only on inpatient services. Payments for physicians, postacute care, and readmissions were not included in this plan. While the IPPS was being implemented, there were rapid increases in the prevalence of outpatient surgery and the use of home health services. 11 Additionally, outpatient hospital and postacute care payments (services not bundled in the IPPS) grew with the implementation of the IPPS. 11 Thus, the overall effect of the IPPS may be difficult to interpret because the reduction in inpatient spending was accompanied by a shift and growth in outpatient care.

What are the advantages of bundled payments?

First, a lump-sum payment has the potential to discourage unnecessary care. 5 In the traditional fee-for-service model, additional care translates to additional revenue, so physicians have little financial incentive to reduce unnecessary tests. In addition, in the current fee-for-service model, there is no financial incentive to avoid complications or readmissions. In fact, hospitals with high complication rates historically have collected higher Medicare payments than hospitals with low complication rates. 6 At the other extreme, bundled payments also have advantages over global payments given that there is no constraint on the number of episodes that can be reimbursed. For example, there is a strong disincentive in traditional capitation to care for patients with severe congestive heart failure who may require frequent hospitalizations. Healthcare systems received the same annual payment for that patient regardless of the number of times the patient is hospitalized in a year. In bundled payment agreements, the incentive to avoid these patients is mitigated because each individual episode of care would be reimbursed. Finally, with the introduction of a single bundled cost, bundled payments also increase transparency and predictability of costs for patients and payers. Patients and payers may prefer this method of reimbursement; thus, hospitals that enter into bundled payment agreements may also benefit from expanded referral bases and increased market share as a result of preferred agreements.

Is bundled payment a good idea?

On one hand, the future of bundled payments remains largely uncertain. The broader picture of healthcare payment reform after the Affordable Care Act has left many healthcare systems preparing for the possibility of numerous different and complex policy initiatives, including accountable care organizations, pay-for-performance and value-based purchasing programs, and patient-centered medical homes. Stakeholders may be hesitant to invest in bundled payments unless they are perceived to be a major initiative within the changing policy landscape. In addition, it is clear that challenges to their implementation have not been adequately addressed in key circumstances. Even after the success of the Medicare Participating Heart Bypass Demonstration in the 1990s, for example, bundled payments did not receive greater attention until a decade later with the Geisinger ProvenCare program.

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