
How is Medicare funded by the government?
Medicare is funded primarily from general revenues (43 percent), payroll taxes (36 percent), and beneficiary premiums (15 percent) (Figure 7). Part A is financed primarily through a 2.9 percent tax on earnings paid by employers and employees (1.45 percent each) (accounting for 88 percent of Part A revenue).
When will Medicare Part A trust fund run out of money?
The latest Medicare trustees report reiterated that beginning in 2026, the trust fund for Part A (hospital insurance) will have more money going out than coming in unless Congress takes action before then to prevent insolvency.
Where does the Medicare Part B trust fund come from?
Funds for Parts B and D benefits are drawn from the Supplementary Medical Insurance (SMI) trust fund. Beneficiaries enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans pay the Part B premium and may pay an additional premium for their plan. What does Medicare trust fund solvency mean and why does it matter?
How much of the federal budget is spent on Medicare?
In 2018, Medicare spending (net of income from premiums and other offsetting receipts) totaled $605 billion, accounting for 15 percent of the federal budget (Figure 1). In 2018, Medicare benefit payments totaled $731 billion, up from $462 billion in 2008 (Figure 2) (these amounts do not net out premiums and other offsetting receipts).

What does the Medicare trust fund pay for?
The Medicare trust fund finances health services for beneficiaries of Medicare, a government insurance program for the elderly, the disabled, and people with qualifying health conditions specified by Congress. The trust fund is financed by payroll taxes, general tax revenue, and the premiums enrollees pay.
Where does the money for Medicare go?
How is it funded? Part B covers certain doctors' services, outpatient care, medical supplies, and preventive services. Optional benefits for prescription drugs available to all people with Medicare for an additional charge.
What happens when Medicare trust fund runs out?
It will have money to pay for health care. Instead, it is projected to become insolvent. Insolvency means that Medicare may not have the funds to pay 100% of its expenses. Insolvency can sometimes lead to bankruptcy, but in the case of Medicare, Congress is likely to intervene and acquire the necessary funding.
How big is the Medicare trust fund?
The Medicare Program is the second-largest social insurance program in the U.S., with 62.6 million beneficiaries and total expenditures of $926 billion in 2020.
Is the Social Security trust fund solvent?
On a combined basis, the trust funds are projected to remain solvent until 2034. Following depletion of combined trust fund reserves at that point, continuing income is projected to cover 78% of scheduled benefits.
Is Medicare about to collapse?
At its current pace, Medicare will go bankrupt in 2026 (the same as last year's projection) and the Social Security Trust Funds for old-aged benefits and disability benefits will become exhausted by 2034.
Which president started borrowing from Social Security?
President Lyndon B. Johnson1.STATEMENT BY THE PRESIDENT UPON MAKING PUBLIC THE REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT'S COUNCIL ON AGING--FEBRUARY 9, 19647.STATEMENT BY THE PRESIDENT COMMENORATING THE 30TH ANNIVERSARY OF THE SIGNING OF THE SOCIAL SECURITY ACT -- AUGUST 15, 196515 more rows
How long will the Medicare trust fund last?
“While the COVID-19 pandemic has significantly affected Medicare short-term financing and spending, it is not expected to have a large effect on the financial status of the trust funds after 2024,” the report notes.
How long will the Social Security trust fund last?
The combined OASI and DI Trust Fund reserves have a projected depletion date of 2035, a year later than in last year's report. After the depletion of reserves, continuing tax income would be sufficient to pay 80 percent of scheduled benefits in 2035, and 74 percent by 2096.
How much money has the government borrowed from the Social Security fund?
The total amount borrowed was $17.5 billion.
Is the Medicare trust fund solvent?
According to recent projections, the Medicare Hospital Insurance (HI) Trust Fund, absent congressional action, will become insolvent in 2026 and no longer be able to fully cover the cost of beneficiaries' hospital bills.
What will happen when Social Security runs out?
Introduction. As a result of changes to Social Security enacted in 1983, benefits are now expected to be payable in full on a timely basis until 2037, when the trust fund reserves are projected to become exhausted.
What has changed in Medicare spending in the past 10 years?
Another notable change in Medicare spending in the past 10 years is the increase in payments to Medicare Advantage plans , which are private health plans that cover all Part A and Part B benefits, and typically also Part D benefits.
What percentage of Medicare is spending?
Key Facts. Medicare spending was 15 percent of total federal spending in 2018, and is projected to rise to 18 percent by 2029. Based on the latest projections in the 2019 Medicare Trustees report, the Medicare Hospital Insurance (Part A) trust fund is projected to be depleted in 2026, the same as the 2018 projection.
How is Medicare Financed?
Medicare is funded primarily from general revenues (43 percent), payroll taxes (36 percent), and beneficiary premiums (15 percent) (Figure 7) .
How much does Medicare cost?
In 2018, Medicare spending (net of income from premiums and other offsetting receipts) totaled $605 billion, accounting for 15 percent of the federal budget (Figure 1).
Why is Medicare spending so slow?
Slower growth in Medicare spending in recent years can be attributed in part to policy changes adopted as part of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and the Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA). The ACA included reductions in Medicare payments to plans and providers, increased revenues, and introduced delivery system reforms that aimed to improve efficiency and quality of patient care and reduce costs, including accountable care organizations (ACOs), medical homes, bundled payments, and value-based purchasing initiatives. The BCA lowered Medicare spending through sequestration that reduced payments to providers and plans by 2 percent beginning in 2013.
What is the average annual growth rate for Medicare?
Average annual growth in total Medicare spending is projected to be higher between 2018 and 2028 than between 2010 and 2018 (7.9 percent versus 4.4 percent) (Figure 4).
How much did Medicare increase in 2018?
As a share of total Medicare benefit spending, payments to Medicare Advantage plans for Part A and Part B benefits increased by nearly 50 percent between 2008 and 2018, from 21 percent ($99 billion) to 32 percent ($232 billion) of total spending, as enrollment in Medicare Advantage plans increased over these years.
Where does a trust fund get its revenue?
That trust fund gets most of its revenue from dedicated taxes paid by employees and employers.
When will Medicare begin to cover hearing and vision?
It remains unclear whether the legislation that ends up being voted on will include everything being debated — or whether current details of various provisions will end up modified. For the expanded Medicare benefits, the House measure would implement vision and hearing coverage in 2022 and 2023, respectively, while dental benefits would not begin until 2028.
What is the age limit for Medicare?
In addition to adding Medicare benefits, some Democrats want to include a lower eligibility age for Medicare (currently age 65 ).
When will the Part A fund be short?
In simple terms, it’s the Part A trust fund that is facing a shortfall beginning in 2026, according to the latest trustees report. Unless Congress intervenes before then, the fund would only be able to pay roughly 91% of claims under Part A beginning that year.
When will the Affordable Care Act be in effect?
Other health-care-related goals include extending the expanded premium subsidies for health-care insurance through the Affordable Care Act’s public marketplace — now in effect for just 2021 and 2022 — and, in states that have not expanded Medicaid, providing coverage for eligible individuals.
Does the expansion of Part B affect the solvency challenges facing the Part A hospital insurance trust fund?
The expansion of benefits under Part B would have no direct impact on the solvency challenges facing the Part A hospital insurance trust fund.
Do Democrats want to expand Medicare?
It’s a situation that appears incongruous: Congressional Democrats want to expand Medicare’s benefits while a trust fund that supports the program is facing insolvency.
How much of the federal budget is Medicare?
Medicare spending often plays a major role in federal health policy and budget discussions, since it accounts for 21% of national health care spending and 12% of the federal budget. Recent attention has focused on one specific measure of Medicare’s financial condition – the solvency of the Medicare Hospital Insurance (HI) trust fund, ...
How is Medicare financed?
Funding for Medicare comes primarily from general revenues, payroll tax revenues, and premiums paid by beneficiaries (Figure 1). Other sources include taxes on Social Security benefits, payments from states, and interest. The different parts of Medicare are funded in varying ways.
What is the longer term outlook for Medicare financing and trust fund solvency?
Over the longer term, Medicare faces financial pressures associated with higher health care costs and an aging population. To sustain Medicare for the long run, policymakers may consider adopting broader changes to the program that could include both reductions in payments to providers and plans or reductions in benefits, and additional revenues, such as payroll tax increases or new sources of tax revenue. Consideration of such changes would likely involve careful deliberations about the effects on federal expenditures, the Medicare program’s finances, and beneficiaries, health care providers, and taxpayers.
When is the HI trust fund projected to be depleted, and what happens if there is a shortfall?
Each year, Medicare’s actuaries provide an estimate of the year when the HI trust fund asset level is projected to be fully depleted. In the 2020 Medicare Trustees report, the actuaries projected that assets in the Part A trust fund will be depleted in 2026, just five years from now (Figure 3). A more recent projection from the Congressional Budget Office also estimated depletion of the HI trust fund in 2026.
What is the hospital insurance trust fund?
The Hospital Insurance trust fund provides financing for only one part of Medicare, and therefore represents only one part of Medicare’s financial picture. While Part A is funded primarily by payroll taxes, benefits for Part B physician and other outpatient services and Part D prescription drugs are funded by general revenues and premiums paid for out of separate accounts in the Supplementary Medical Insurance, or SMI, trust fund. The revenues for Medicare Parts B and D are determined annually to meet expected spending obligations, meaning that the SMI trust fund does not face a funding shortfall, in contrast to the HI trust fund. But higher projected spending for benefits covered under Part B and Part D will increase the amount of general revenue funding and beneficiary premiums required to cover costs for these parts of the program in the future.
How much is the deficit between 2026 and 2031?
To address the shortfall between Part A spending and revenues, based on CBO’s projections, a total of $517 billion in spending reductions or additional revenues, or some combination of both, would be needed to cover the total deficit between 2026 (the year of trust fund depletion) and 2031 (the final year in CBO’s projection period) (Figure 5). This $517 billion deficit represents the cumulative difference between Part A spending and revenues over this time period. This amount is lower than the total deficit between spending and revenues that will accumulate between 2022 and 2031 ($653 billion over this period), because the lower amount takes into account the assets in the trust fund between 2022 and 2026 that can be used to pay for Part A spending until the assets are depleted.
How much is the HI trust fund in 2021?
For example, in 2021, the Medicare actuaries estimated that the HI trust fund would begin the year with $185 billion in assets, but because spending is estimated to exceed revenue by $15 billion this year, the trust fund is expected to end the year with $170 billion in assets (Figure 2). By 2025, assets in the trust fund at the beginning of the year will have decreased to $73 billion, and with $50 billion more in spending than in revenues that year, assets will drop to $23 billion by the end of 2025. And by 2026, the $23 billion in assets in the HI trust fund at the start of the year is projected to be insufficient to cover the shortfall between projected spending and revenues, leading to a deficit of $31 billion by the end of that year.
What would happen if the Social Security Trust Fund invested in something other than U.S. bonds?
bonds, what would it invest in and where would the money go? If it invested in corporate stocks or bonds, the money would get spent , as noted above. If it invested in the bonds of state and local governments, the money would also get spent. And if the government owned too large a slice of U.S. corporations' stocks and bonds, you might call it socialism.
Did Congress spend Social Security taxes?
So did Congress spend our Social Security taxes? Of course. They spent this money on all the various operations of the federal government, with a large chunk going to pay for Social Security benefits, Medicare and the military. Some people get worked up when they hear about the obscure projects that they deem to be worthless, but such spending represents a tiny fraction of the overall federal budget.
Did Social Security taxes add up to retirement?
The truth is that in prior years, Social Security taxes collected from workers added up to more than the amount of benefits paid to retirees. This buildup of surplus was intentional -- the government wanted to build a reserve that would cover the benefits of the baby boomers.
Where do Social Security's asset reserves really go?
A Fool since 2010, and a graduate from UC San Diego with a B.A. in Economics, Sean specializes in the healthcare sector and investment planning. You'll often find him writing about Obamacare, marijuana, drug and device development, Social Security, taxes, retirement issues and general macroeconomic topics of interest. Follow @AMCScam
How long was Social Security on budget?
This means at no point over this 22-year period where Social Security was on-budget did a dime of Social Security income, benefits, or asset reserves get commingled with the federal government's General Fund.
Why is Social Security facing a huge cash shortfall?
One of the more common theories as to why Social Security is facing a huge long-term cash shortfall is that lawmakers in Congress have pilfered cash from the program and never returned it. This idea goes all the way back to 1968, when then-President Lyndon B. Johnson made a change to how the federal budget would be presented.
What has Congress not done?
What Congress hasn't done is steal from Social Security. However, lawmakers have known of the program's shortcomings since 1985, and have yet to find a middle-ground solution to fix it. If you want to point the finger at lawmakers, do so because bountiful solutions exist, but political hubris appears to be getting in the way.
What was the President's Commission on Budget Concepts?
Prior to 1974, before Congress had an independent budgeting process, the President's Commission on Budget Concepts had three separate budgets, all of which had differing deficits. To simplify things, Johnson called for Social Security and its trust funds to be included in the annual federal budget. In 1983, the Reagan administration voted ...
How much interest did Social Security get in 2018?
In 2018, $83 billion in interest income was collected by Social Security. If the folks who believe that Congress stole from Social Security got their way, and the federal government repaid every cent it borrowed, Social Security would have lost out on this $83 billion in interest income in 2018.
When did Social Security get pilfered?
First of all, there's the period between 1968 and 1990, which is believed to be when Congress pilfered America's top social program. What needs to be understood here is that, while Social Security's two trusts (the Old Age and Survivors Insurance Trust and Disability Insurance Trust) and its asset reserves were technically "on-budget," funding ...
What was the Greenspan Commission's plan to save money for the Baby Boom Generation?
President Reagan and the Democrat-controlled Congress agreed with the plan and raised Social Security withholding which immediately resulted in a large surplus in the Social Security Trust Fund.
Is the Social Security Trust Fund empty?
Now, the Social Security Trust Fund sits empty — there isn’t enough money to pay the benefits that are owed this year. But there is a file cabinet in Parkersburg, West Virginia filled with those special bonds the Treasury issued to replace the money in the Social Security Trust Fund
Did Congress borrow and spend Social Security money?
Unfortunately, Congress saw that surplus and decided to borrow and spend it. It was all very legal. In fact, the United States Treasury even created special bonds to to show how much money they owed to Social Security.
Can the federal government borrow money from the trust fund?
And the only way the trust fund can get some cash to pay Social Security benefits is if the federal government draws it from general revenues or borrows the money—which, of course, it can’t do because ...
Is Social Security Trust Fund fully funded?
In other words, the Social Security trust fund contains—nothing.”. Social Security status-quo defenders have assured us for the past 25 years that Social Security is fully funded—for the next 25 years, or 2036. So if there are real assets in the Social Security Trust Fund—$2.6 trillion allegedly—then how could failure to reach a debt-ceiling ...
Does Social Security have a trust fund?
Here’s why: Social Security has a trust fund, and that trust fund is supposed to have $2.6 trillion in it, according to the Social Security trustees . If there are real assets in the trust fund, then Social Security can mail the checks, regardless of what Congress does about the debt limit. President Obama’s budget director, Jack Lew, explained all ...
Is the Social Security Trust Fund backed by the Federal Government?
If the budget crisis has done nothing else, it has exposed the decades-long lie about the solvency of the Social Security trust fund. The trust fund may be backed by the “full faith and credit of the federal government,” as defenders constantly remind us, but if it had real assets the president wouldn’t be talking about seniors missing their checks.
How much money does the government owe to the Social Security Fund?
Technically the government owes the Social Security fund an estimated $2.9 trillion, money that has been used and not repaid to the fund. The money is legally held in a special type of bond that by law cannot be used for any other purpose other than to put the money back into the fund.
Why is Social Security like a lottery?
Actually, the Social Security program has become much like a state lottery or casino because it depends on people playing, not to fund the intended program (education, assistance for the elderly) but to fill holes in the larger budget where overspending has occurred.
Is there cash in the bank to pay out Social Security benefits?
There is no cash in the bank to pay out monthly benefit checks. The Congress, those keepers of the financial retirement flame, have been using Social Security taxes to fund other parts of the government because, well the money is there.
Do millennials pay taxes?
Millennials and younger generations complain they are paying their taxes in just to finance the 63 million retirees, about half who depend on their Social Security check to pay part or all of their monthly bills. But when looking at that $2.9 trillion owed to the fund, and the fact that the fund actually has more money going in than coming out, the problem clearly lies with the government’s addiction to spending. Money is the drug of choice in Washington D.C., and whoever gets elected will get their fix sooner or later.

Summary
Health
Cost
Causes
- Slower growth in Medicare spending in recent years can be attributed in part to policy changes adopted as part of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and the Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA). The ACA included reductions in Medicare payments to plans and providers, increased revenues, and introduced delivery system reforms that aimed to improve efficiency and quality of patient care …
Effects
- In addition, although Medicare enrollment has been growing around 3 percent annually with the aging of the baby boom generation, the influx of younger, healthier beneficiaries has contributed to lower per capita spending and a slower rate of growth in overall program spending. In general, Part A trust fund solvency is also affected by the level of growth in the economy, which affects …
Impact
- Prior to 2010, per enrollee spending growth rates were comparable for Medicare and private health insurance. With the recent slowdown in the growth of Medicare spending and the recent expansion of private health insurance through the ACA, however, the difference in growth rates between Medicare and private health insurance spending per enrollee has widened.
Future
- While Medicare spending is expected to continue to grow more slowly in the future compared to long-term historical trends, Medicares actuaries project that future spending growth will increase at a faster rate than in recent years, in part due to growing enrollment in Medicare related to the aging of the population, increased use of services and intensity of care, and rising health care pri…
Funding
- Medicare is funded primarily from general revenues (41 percent), payroll taxes (37 percent), and beneficiary premiums (14 percent) (Figure 7). Part B and Part D do not have financing challenges similar to Part A, because both are funded by beneficiary premiums and general revenues that are set annually to match expected outlays. Expected future inc...
Assessment
- Medicares financial condition can be assessed in different ways, including comparing various measures of Medicare spendingoverall or per capitato other spending measures, such as Medicare spending as a share of the federal budget or as a share of GDP, as discussed above, and estimating the solvency of the Medicare Hospital Insurance (Part A) trust fund.
Purpose
- The solvency of the Medicare Hospital Insurance trust fund, out of which Part A benefits are paid, is one way of measuring Medicares financial status, though because it only focuses on the status of Part A, it does not present a complete picture of total program spending. The solvency of Medicare in this context is measured by the level of assets in the Part A trust fund. In years whe…
Benefits
- A number of changes to Medicare have been proposed that could help to address the health care spending challenges posed by the aging of the population, including: restructuring Medicare benefits and cost sharing; further increasing Medicare premiums for beneficiaries with relatively high incomes; raising the Medicare eligibility age; and shifting Medicare from a defined benefit s…