Medicare Blog

how will baby boomer retirement affect medicare

by Joan Labadie II Published 2 years ago Updated 1 year ago
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Retiring baby boomers will more than double Medicare and Medicaid costs by 2020, according to industry data. As health-care costs increase faster than economic growth, Medicare taxes and the Trust Fund will cover less and less. By 2033, some pundits say, the Trust Fund will be bankrupt, and taxes will pay only for 48 percent of the costs.

Aging comfortably as a baby boomer is a major concern. By 2020, retiring baby boomers are expected to more than double Medicare and Medicaid costs. As a result, some pundits anticipate that the Trust Fund will be bankrupt by 2033. Meanwhile, taxes will cover only 48 percent of the associated health care costs.

Full Answer

How will baby boomers affect Medicare and Medicaid?

Retiring baby boomers will more than double Medicare and Medicaid costs by 2020, according to industry data. As health-care costs increase faster than economic growth, Medicare taxes and the Trust Fund will cover less and less. By 2033, some pundits say, the Trust Fund will be bankrupt, and taxes will pay only for 48 percent of the costs.

Are baby boomers facing retirement problems?

This sentiment is shared by Millennials (79%), Generation X (81%), and Baby Boomers (69%). Research by the Insured Retirement Institute (IRI) from 2019 also suggests trouble for many retiring Boomers. IRI found that 45% have no retirement savings.

How much do Baby Boomers spend on health care when they retire?

Health-care dilemma: 10,000 boomers retiring each day. Retiring baby boomers will more than double Medicare and Medicaid costs by 2020. Retired 65-year-old couples can expect to pay $275,000 in out-of-pocket expenses for health care, excluding long-term nursing care and rehabilitation — but only have a 50 percent chance of covering these costs.

How are aging baby boomers impacting the health care industry?

Aging baby boomers are putting a greater strain on the health care industry in more than one way. As these individuals retire, they’re leaving behind a significant number of job openings.

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Will Boomers drain Social Security?

The Bottom Line. While the aging of the baby boom generation is changing the math for the future of Social Security, it won't lead to the system's demise. Even if the trust funds run out of money, benefits will be covered by workers who pay Social Security taxes.

At what age do baby boomers qualify for Medicare?

age 65This time period spans the four years prior to the first baby boomer turning age 65 in 2011 and the subsequent five years. More than 3.3 million beneficiaries ages 65 to 74 joined traditional Medicare as the baby boom generation began qualifying for Medicare in large numbers.

Who are baby boomers and what is their impact on the long-term care system?

Approximately 75 million people born between the years 1946 and 1964 make up the baby boomer generation, and they may be approaching retirement in the near future. With the aging of baby boomers comes an enormous impact on long-term care for the elderly.

How will baby boomers affect nursing?

In 2020, baby-boomer RNs will number 660,000, roughly half their 2008 peak. The retirement of one million RNs from the nursing workforce between now and 2030 will mean that their accumulated years of nursing experience leave with them.

How many individuals are turning 65 daily thus eligible for Medicare?

Every day, 10,000 baby boomer turns 65 and become eligible for Medicare. What does that number mean? For one thing, it affects a flock of other numbers. Take 60 million—the total Medicare enrollment likely to be reached this year.

How many Americans over the age of 65 are on Medicare?

Over its history, the people who are covered under the program have not only expanded in numbers, but have grown more complex in composition and health care needs. More than 19 million elderly entered Medicare in 1966; today, Medicare provides insurance coverage for 34 million elderly, or 97 percent of older Americans.

What are some negative consequences of the baby boom?

Negative impact on employment These effects cause a decline in young males' income relative to workers in their prime, a higher unemployment rate, a lower labor force participation rate and a lower college wage premium among these younger workers.

Who will take care of boomers?

When the oldest baby boomers begin turning 80 in 2025, there will be a growing wave of people who may need more support and services, and the burden will be heaviest for their children. Most long-term care is provided by a spouse, by children — daughters more often than sons — and by other family members.

What percentage of baby boomers have long-term care insurance?

Even for the 29 percent of boomers who consult with a financial adviser, only 52 percent have included health care and 36 percent have included long-term care in their planning.

What is the average retirement age for nurses?

RNs, on average, retired at 58.1 years and AHPs at 59.4 years. More than two thirds retired before age 65. Among RNs, caregiving demands predict early retirement – policies supporting employed RN caregivers may reduce early workforce exits among publicly employed RNs.

What percentage of nurses are baby boomers?

By 2015, almost 40% of RNs were boomers over 50, according to a Montana State University study open_in_new. In a 2017 Health Affairs article on baby boomers in the nursing field open_in_new, industry experts predicted that the number of baby boomer RNs would reach 660,000 in 2020—about half their 2008 peak.

How many nurses will retire in the next 10 years?

Because demand for RNs is expected to increase during this time, a large and prolonged shortage of nurses is expected to hit the U.S. in the latter half of the next decade.” In fact, 55 percent of the RN workforce is age 50 or older, and more than 1 million registered nurses are predicted to reach retirement age within ...

What will happen to the baby boomers in 2020?

Aging comfortably as a baby boomer is a major concern. By 2020, retiring baby boomers are expected to more than double Medicare and Medicaid costs. As a result, some pundits anticipate that the Trust Fund will be bankrupt by 2033. Meanwhile, taxes will cover only 48 percent of the associated health care costs. A retired 65-year-old couple can anticipate health care costs of $275,000 out-of-pocket, according to Fidelity Investments. This doesn’t include the cost of long-term nursing care or rehabilitation.

What percentage of baby boomers are childless?

The need for senior living communities will likely increase as the baby boomer generation ages. According to the Pew Research Center, about 20 percent of baby boomers are childless, which means that these individuals won’t have the traditional safety net of close family to help care for them as they get older. Another 20 percent of boomers are aging alone because they do not have a spouse or partner and their children live more than 500 miles away. This leaves a full 40 percent of individuals over age 65 on their own.

How much will Medicare cost in 2030?

By 2030, this number is expected to increase to 69.7 million. This will put Medicare’s annual acute care costs around $259.8 billion in 2030. As the baby boomer generation, born between 1946 and 1964, reaches retirement age, the need for Medicare and age-related health care services will continue to rise, taking health care expenses upwards ...

Why are communities more desirable to aging boomers?

Communities are more desirable to aging boomers when they promote an active lifestyle with facilities for indoor and outdoor recreation, communal cooking, and cultural events. Offering flexibility in the way of financing options will make these communities more accessible to middle-income earners.

Why are health care facilities sacrificing efficiency?

In an effort to increase patient satisfaction, some health care facilities are sacrificing efficiency. This leads to higher health care costs, which are putting a significant strain on baby boomers. Labor is one of the greatest expenses that a health care facility incurs.

Is there a shortage of nurses?

The New York Times indicates that there is a shortage of nurses, aides, pharmacists, and social workers who are trained to care for the elderly. Those in administrative positions in health care must address this pending issue by actively seeking replacements for the baby boomers who are leaving the industry.

Can aging baby boomers afford health care?

There’s just a 50 percent chance that aging boomers will be able to afford their health care expenses. Costs for aging baby boomers are expected to be high. This generation is living longer, yet experiencing higher rates of obesity, diabetes, high cholesterol, and hypertension. These conditions require long-term care, ...

What is the downside of Medicare?

Although Medicare offers exceptional benefits, the big downside to Medicare plans is that they only cover 80% of medical expenses. That leaves a retiree owing the remaining 20% themselves without an out-of-pocket spending limit to protect them.

What are the challenges of Medicare?

The challenges that retirees face when they are Medicare-eligible also include being inundated with marketing information through the mail, over the phone and through the various forms of television and social media. It can make what should be an exciting time for the retiree stressful.

What are the three most common standardized plans used to supplement Medicare?

The three most popular standardized plans used to supplement Medicare are Plans F, G and N. Since Medicare does not cover prescriptions, an individual would need a stand-alone plan referred to as Part D. There is a separate monthly premium for a Medigap Supplement or a Part D plan.

What is Medicare Advantage?

More retirees today are selecting an alternative plan to traditional Medicare, called Medicare Advantage, thinking they are supplementing their Medicare card. This is in large part due to not fully understanding the Medicare process and its options.

What is traditional Medicare?

Traditional Medicare is what retirees have paid into their entire lives through their payroll taxes known as FICA. FICA is comprised of the following taxes: 6.2% Social Security tax; 1.45% Medicare tax. The Medicare tax the baby boomer generation paid into was designed so that Medicare would be their last insurance plan.

Is Medicare a primary insurance?

A Medigap plan retains Medicare as the primary insurance. I often tell retirees to think of Medicare as the body and the Medigap as the arm attached to it. The Medigap plan is accepted everywhere Medicare is accepted and is portable if someone moves or is traveling.

Is Medicare Advantage a supplement?

Having personally talked to thousands of eligible Medicare beneficiaries that have Medicare Advantage plans, most think the Medicare Advantage plan is their supplement to Medicare. Many are surprised to learn that the Medicare Advantage plan is not a supplement to Medicare, but instead an alternative plan designed to privatize ...

How much will the baby boomers pay for health care in 2020?

Retiring baby boomers will more than double Medicare and Medicaid costs by 2020. Retired 65-year-old couples can expect to pay $275,000 in out-of-pocket expenses for health care, excluding long-term nursing care and rehabilitation — but only have a 50 percent chance of covering these costs. On the bright side, exorbitant health spending by baby ...

How many Americans are personally responsible for retirement?

Americans are unique in that a vast majority feel personally responsible for retirement preparation — a survey by Transamerica found that 91 percent felt very or somewhat personally responsible for post-retirement income sufficiency, versus 73 percent of workers globally.

What is the Medicare limit for 2035?

According to the Congressional Budget Office, by 2035 spending for Medicare alone will reach 8 percent of gross domestic product; as of 2080, that figure may be 15 percent.

What are the structural changes in the health care industry?

As health care continues to take up a larger part of the overall economy, structural changes — such as the push toward paying for value, greater emphasis on care management and increased cost sharing with consumers — are taking a stronger hold, pulling back against rapid health-care spending growth. Retiring baby boomers will more ...

How much chance of covering health care costs?

But by some estimates, they only have a 50 percent chance of covering these costs. According to a report by AARP, "the U.S. stands out for the high cost of health care and its failure to generate better health outcomes.".

How much money do I need to retire with 40,000?

According to some industry calculations, a person with a $40,000 annual income needs $1.5 million to comfortably retire (the higher your income, the more millions you need in order to maintain your lifestyle).

Does baby boomer spending drive innovation?

If there is an upside, it's that exorbitant health spending by baby boomers has driven innovation in health care. Not all innovation leads to lowered costs, though; in fact, sometimes the opposite can occur. As new innovations, drugs and processes are created, demand for these services rise, increasing spending by an order of magnitude.

What age group did Medicare increase?

Even though there was a large increase in Medicare beneficiaries ages 65 to 74 when the baby boomers began entering Medicare, this age shift does not explain why Medicare spending per beneficiary has grown so little in recent years. Across all Medicare age groups, even the oldest beneficiaries, annual Medicare per-beneficiary spending growth was ...

When did Medicare spend growth slow?

Across all Medicare age groups, even the oldest beneficiaries, annual Medicare per-beneficiary spending growth was low from 2007 to 2015. If the Medicare age distribution had not changed during this time, the Medicare program would have still experienced lower spending growth. The Slowdown in Medicare Spending Growth for Baby Boomers ...

How much did Medicare spend on beneficiaries in 2015?

Among beneficiaries age 90 and older, spending per beneficiary increased by 10.0 percent from $12,948 in 2007 to $14,244 in 2015. Almost all age groups among traditional beneficiaries younger than age 65 had increases in Medicare spending levels from 2007 to 2015.

What age group did the spending rate decline in 2009?

The timing of when spending growth rates began to decline varied by age group. Unlike older beneficiaries, those ages 65 to 79 had modest increases in 2009 spending growth. In contrast, 2009 marked the first year of declining spending growth for beneficiaries 80 and older during this time period.

How much will Medicare cost in 2050?

2 Using Reinhardt’s worst-case scenarios for per capita spending, Medicare’s annual acute care costs would rise to $259.8 billion in 2030 and to $287.5 billion in 2050.

What will happen if health care is left as it is today?

If health care is left as it is today, the sheer numbers of baby boomers will drive increased use and, therefore, spending. In the 2000 census the Medicare-eligible U.S. population totaled 35.1 million.

Will the elderly consume more health care?

By their vastly increased numbers alone, the elderly will be consuming ever-increasing health resources over the next half-century. The issues of improved health and longevity are further changing the equation. In the final decade of life, Medicare costs rise dramatically.

What is Medicare Advantage?

In many ways, Medicare Advantage plans are similar to private or group healthcare plans that baby boomers had during their working years. They are run by private health insurance companies and provide comprehensive coverage for inpatient and outpatient medical care to protect members from burdensome medical bills.

How much does Medicare Advantage cost?

In some cases, Medicare Advantage plans have a separate premium that a member pays in addition to the standard Part B premium. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Medicare Advantage premiums were an average of $28.00 per month in 2019, and nearly half of enrollees had no additional premium.

How much does Medicare cover out of pocket?

Some plans may, for example, have an out-of-pocket maximum of $6,700. Once a member has reached that limit, their plan will cover 100% of eligible expenses. Original Medicare doesn’t have an out-of-pocket maximum limit.

How old do you have to be to qualify for Medicare Advantage?

To be eligible for Medicare Advantage, baby boomers must be at least 65 years old or eligible for Original Medicare due to an injury or disability. They must be a U.S. citizen or a legal resident for at least five years in a row, and they must either qualify for or be enrolled in Original Medicare. They must also live within the service area of the Medicare Advantage plan that they choose.

Do Medicare Advantage plans have to accept preexisting conditions?

Because Medicare Advantage plan providers are required to accept any Medicare-eligible enrollee regardless of health status or preexisting conditions, they control costs through the way they structure their copays and deductibles. As enrollees age and their health needs change, their monthly premiums and other out-of-pocket expenses are likely to increase significantly.

Does Medicare Advantage have a preferred provider network?

Unlike Original Medicare, Medicare Advantage plans have preferred provider networks. If a member goes to a healthcare provider outside of this network, they will likely have a much higher out-of-pocket copay or coinsurance amount. This may be a consideration for seniors who travel often.

Do seniors have to have separate health insurance?

Seniors who have separate health insurance plans for vision, dental, prescription, long-term care and medical care not only have multiple plans to juggle, but also have various copays, premiums and deductibles to track. Comprehensive Medicare Advantage plans provide streamlined coverage, making it simpler for members to pay monthly premiums, file claims, remember copays and deductibles and track total out-of-pocket spending.

Why are baby boomers not saving for retirement?

Many do not have enough saved for their retirement. Beyond a lack of planning, a key reason Baby Boomers lack retirement savings is due to the 2008 financial crisis, as well as the chronic low interest rates since. The stock market losses of the COVID-19 pandemic are adding to the shortfall.

When did the baby boomers retire?

Is This a Crisis? The Bottom Line. Baby Boomers —the generation born between 1946 and 1964—are heading into retirement in droves. Along with the aging of this iconic cohort comes a lot of data concerning their lack of preparation for their later years.

How much money do baby boomers have saved for retirement?

How Much Have Baby Boomers Saved for Retirement? Baby Boomers have an average of $152,000 saved for retirement, according to the 19th Annual Retirement Survey of Workers conducted by the TransAmerica Center for Retirement Studies. This is not nearly enough to last through retirement.

How much is the average Social Security benefit in 2020?

The average Social Security benefit is $1,503 per month in 2020, substantially less than the average wage, which is approximately $3,668, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 6 7 8. For many retirees, leaving work can mean a sometimes drastic lifestyle adjustment.

Is it hard to retire as a baby boomer?

But whether Baby Boomers are in a retirement crisis depends on how you measure the situation, where they are living, and how their circumstances compare with their predecessors.

Can boomers live on less than rent?

Whether or not this can be called a crisis depends on which Boomers are being discussed, including the types of assets they can access. Boomers who own their own homes in an area with a lower cost of living may be able to live on quite a bit less than a rent-paying retiree in a major metropolitan area.

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