Medicare Blog

what will happen to medicare advantage coverage with repeal of aca

by Prof. Myrna Beier Sr. Published 1 year ago Updated 1 year ago
image

Repealing the ACAs Medicare benefit improvements would be expected to: Reduce Medicare Part B spending for preventive services and reduce Part D spending on costs in the coverage gap. Increase beneficiary cost sharing for Part B preventive benefits.

Repealing the payroll tax increases would reduce revenues to the Medicare Hospital Insurance Trust Fund, which covers the costs of beneficiaries' hospital visits and is currently projected to become insolvent in 2024. Repealing these provisions also would make preventive care more expensive.Oct 29, 2020

Full Answer

Will repealing the ACA's Medicare Advantage payment changes increase Medicare spending?

Repealing the ACA’s Medicare Advantage payment changes would be expected to: Increase total Medicare spending as a result of increasing payments to Medicare Advantage plans relative to spending under traditional Medicare.

Is it possible to repeal the Affordable Care Act?

Though speculative, the answer to the question is not an impossible one. The repeal of the Affordable Care Act, also known as ACA or Obamacare, is a subject that is under much scrutiny. What is the Affordable Care Act?

What would happen to Medicare Part B premiums if the payment reductions repealed?

The Part B premium and deductible would likely increase if the payment reductions for Medicare Advantage plans are repealed because the Part B premium is set to cover 25 percent of Part B spending, and the Part B deductible is indexed to rise at the same rate as the Part B premium.

What would happen to the federal deficit if Obamacare is repealed?

If Obamacare is repealed and not replaced with an alternative, the government would see a huge increase in the deficit because the repeal would devastate Medicaid, according to Healthline.com. The federal government currently provides states with 90 percent of their Medicaid funding through the ACA provisions.

image

Does the Affordable Care Act affect Medicare Advantage plans?

The ACA reduced payments to Medicare Advantage plans over six years, which brought these payments closer to the average costs of care under the traditional Medicare program. In 2016, federal payments to plans were 2 percent higher than traditional Medicare spending (including quality-based bonus payments to plans).

What happens if Affordable Care Act goes away?

If the marketplaces and subsidies go away, a comprehensive health plan would become unaffordable for most of those people and many of them would become uninsured. States could not possibly replace the full amount of federal subsidies with state funds.

What impact has the Affordable Care Act had on Medicare?

Cost savings through Medicare Advantage. The ACA gradually reduced costs by restructuring payments to Medicare Advantage, based on the fact that the government was spending more money per enrollee for Medicare Advantage than for Original Medicare.

What are the benefits of repealing the Affordable Care Act?

Many hospitals, family doctors, and other medical providers are already struggling financially because of COVID-19. Without the ACA, the financial pressures would increase, and many more rural and safety net hospitals that serve low- and middle-income families could be forced to close.

What are the problems with the Affordable Care Act?

The Problem: Affordability The ACA set standards for “affordability,” but millions remain uninsured or underinsured due to high costs, even with subsidies potentially available. High deductibles and increases in consumer cost sharing have chipped away at the affordability of ACA-compliant plans.

Is ACA still in effect 2021?

Yes, the Obamacare is still the law of the land, however there is no more penalty for not having health insurance.

How will repeal of Obamacare affect Medicare?

Repealing the payroll tax increases would reduce revenues to the Medicare Hospital Insurance Trust Fund, which covers the costs of beneficiaries' hospital visits and is currently projected to become insolvent in 2024. Repealing these provisions also would make preventive care more expensive.

How does the Affordable Care Act affect the elderly?

"The ACA expanded access to affordable coverage for adults under 65, increasing coverage for all age groups, races and ethnicities, education levels, and incomes."Under the ACA, older adults' uninsured rate has dropped by a third, indicators of their health and wellness have improved, and they're now protected from ...

Is Medicare Advantage the same as Obamacare?

Medicare isn't part of the Affordable Care Act (ObamaCare) neither is supplemental Medigap insurance nor Medicare Advantage plans. You won't shop for your coverage through the marketplace. Instead, you'll want to follow the instructions under the “how to sign up for Medicare Advantage” section below.

What are the challenges involved in repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act?

As repeal-and-replace efforts persist, the EHBs face three main challenges: (1) regulatory implementation of the EHBs, (2) struggling individual and small-group markets in many state insurance exchanges, and (3) the Trump administration's push for selling health insurance across state lines.

What would happen if Medicare taxes were repealed?

Repealing the payroll tax increases would reduce revenues to the Medicare Hospital Insurance Trust Fund, which covers the costs of beneficiaries’ hospital visits and is currently projected to become insolvent in 2024. Repealing these provisions also would make preventive care more expensive.

How did the ACA affect Medicare?

The ACA reduced Medicare payments to many health care providers, such as hospitals, skilled nursing facilities, hospice, and home health providers. Because the law provided new sources of coverage for the uninsured, it also reduced Medicare Disproportionate Share Hospital payments that compensate hospitals for providing care to low-income and uninsured patients. The law also reformed payments to Medicare Advantage plans, required a minimum portion of plans’ premiums be spent on medical benefits (rather than administrative costs and profits), and added bonus payments for higher-quality plans.

How would overturning the Affordable Care Act affect Medicare?

Overturning the ACA would unquestionably further erode the Medicare Trust Fund, jeopardizing the financing of beneficiaries’ hospital benefits. If parts of the law were overturned that increased federal spending for Medicare through higher payments to providers, then all Medicare premiums, deductibles, and cost-sharing would increase. Medicare payments to health care providers also would be less predictable while policymakers sorted through the various questions, adding instability to a turbulent time. While the effects of overturning the Affordable Care Act on younger adults has received significant attention, the potential effects on Medicare should not be overlooked.

How many people will lose Medicare coverage?

But if the Supreme Court takes a broad approach, as the Trump administration has urged it to do, and strikes the law in its entirety — including the many Medicare-related provisions — not only will 20 million people lose health coverage, but virtually every patient, health care provider, and health plan in the United States could be affected.

Has Medicare changed since the ACA?

What We Know. Many of the changes to Medicare made by the ACA remain in effect and have not changed since the law was passed; for example, an increase in the Medicare Part A payroll tax on higher-income workers, as well as preventive benefits like an annual wellness check-up and free coverage of some health screenings.

What are the benefits of the ACA?

Medicare Benefit Improvements. The ACA included provisions to improve Medicare benefits by providing free coverage for some preventive benefits , such as screenings for breast and colorectal cancer, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes, and closing the coverage gap (or “doughnut hole”) in the Part D drug benefit by 2020.

What would happen if Medicare spending increased?

The increase in Medicare spending would likely lead to higher Medicare premiums, deductibles, and cost sharing for beneficiaries, and accelerate the insolvency of the Medicare Part A trust fund. Policymakers will confront decisions about the Medicare provisions in the ACA in their efforts to repeal and replace the law.

How much will Medicare increase over 10 years?

Increase Part A and Part B spending. CBO has estimated that roughly $350 billion 3 of the total $802 billion in higher Medicare spending over 10 years could result from repealing ACA provisions that changed provider payment rates in traditional Medicare.

How much will Medicare save in 2026?

Increase Medicare spending over time, in the absence of the Board’s cost-reducing actions. CBO projects Medicare savings of $8 billion as a result of the IPAB process between 2019 and 2026. 12

What is the ACA payment?

Payments to Health Care Providers. The ACA reduced updates in Medicare payment levels to hospitals, skilled nursing facilities, hospice and home health providers, and other health care providers. The ACA also reduced Medicare Disproportionate Share Hospital (DSH) payments that help to compensate hospitals for providing care to low-income ...

Why is the ACA important?

The Medicare provisions of the ACA have played an important role in strengthening Medicare’s financial status for the future, while offsetting some of the cost of the coverage expansions of the ACA and also providing some additional benefits to people with Medicare.

How many members are on the Medicare Advisory Board?

The ACA authorized a new Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB), a 15-member board that is required to recommend Medicare spending reductions to Congress if projected spending growth exceeds specified target levels, with the recommendations taking effect according to a process outlined in the ACA.

How much of Medicare Part C is spent on other health care?

Under the ACA, Medicare Advantage (Medicare Part C) plans are required to spend at least 85% of the revenue generated by plan premiums on other plan health care costs, and not toward company profits or overhead.

Does Medicare pay for a wellness exam?

Because of provisions within the ACA, Medicare beneficiaries pay no deductibles or coinsurance for certain preventive screenings for conditions such as cancer, heart disease and diabetes. Annual Medicare wellness exams are free of charge, as are flu shots and certain other vaccines.

What was the ACA expansion?

The ACA Medicaid expansion was designed to fill gaps in coverage for low-income adults. Prior to the ACA, Medicaid eligibility for adults was very limited resulting in large numbers of uninsured poor adults.

Why did 44 million people in 2013 not have health insurance?

In 2013, 44 million nonelderly people were uninsured. The majority who lacked coverage were poor and low-income adults (28% of the non-elderly uninsured had incomes below poverty and 62% had incomes below 200% of poverty in 2013). The main reason that most people said they lacked coverage was cost. 1. The ACA Medicaid expansion was designed ...

What is the federal share of Medicaid?

The federal share of Medicaid is determined by a formula set in statute that is based on a state’s per capita income.

Why is the uninsured rate rising?

Uninsured rates could rise due to losses in Medicaid coverage, but, the extent of such losses would depend on what other coverage options may be available . Medicaid enrollment gains have played a significant role in decreasing the uninsured rate.

How many people were on medicaid in 2015?

In 2015, an estimated 11 million Medicaid enrollees were adults made newly eligible by the expansion. This number has likely continued to grow since 2015 as enrollment has continued to increase and additional states have expanded, including Louisiana and Montana. Loss of Medicaid coverage could reverse the progress in reducing the uninsured.

How many people were affected by the Medicaid expansion in 2015?

It finds: In 2015, an estimated 11 million enrollees were adults made newly eligible by the expansion who could be at risk for losing Medicaid coverage. However, the scope of coverage losses among this group would depend on the specifics of the repeal and any replacement plan as well as actions by individual states.

Will Medicaid be repealed?

Experience to date suggests that under a repeal of the Medicaid expansion, many low-income parents and other adults would be at risk for potentially losing eligibility for Medicaid, which might contribute to increases in the number of uninsured, depending on what coverage options are available under a repeal.

1. 20 million Americans could lose insurance coverage

If Obamacare is overturned, the Urban Institute estimates that the number of uninsured people would increase by nearly 20 million people or 65 percent.

2. You could be denied coverage for preexisting conditions

Under the Affordable Care Act, insurers cannot discriminate against consumers based on their medical history. This means they can’t deny coverage or even charge higher rates.

3. Health care costs would rise

Obamacare offers tax credits that reduce premiums and out-of-pocket expenses for millions of families. Without the ACA, insurers could also implement annual and lifetime limits on coverage again, including for people with employer plans, and reinstate cost-sharing for preventive services

4. 1.2 million jobs could be lost

The Urban Institute estimates that the financial difficulties caused by repealing the ACA would have a ripple effect throughout the economy. If health care costs increase, that means millions of Americans will have less spending money on necessities like food and rent. 1.2 million jobs could be lost.

5. Coverage loss would differ along racial lines

While millions stand to lose coverage if Obamacare is overturned, experts say that the Supreme Court decision would not affect all Americans equally. It’s estimated that 1 in 16 white individuals will lose coverage, compared to 1 in 10 black individuals and 1 in 3 Hispanic people.

6. Medicaid could see changes, too

The ACA Marketplace isn’t the only place where coverage would change. The ACA grants States the ability to expand their Medicaid services to adults with incomes below 138 percent of the poverty line. Repealing the law could cause the 13 million people who’ve benefited from this to lose their coverage.

7. Prescription drug costs could rise for Medicare recipients

Medicare is another area in which consumers could see major disruption. Known as the “donut hole,” most Medicare plans had a coverage gap that temporarily limited what the plan would cover for drug prescriptions.

How long will the ACA last?

A study cited in the amicus brief filed by the Center for Medicare Advocacy found that the ACA extended the solvency of the program’s trust fund by eight years to 2026, mostly by finding new sources of revenue and slowing the growth of payments to all providers.

When did Medicare ACA become law?

Those restrictions dramatically lowered costs for plan participants since the ACA became law in 2010 and enticed more Medicare enrollees to choose Advantage plans. Over the past decade, the average Medicare Advantage premium plummeted 43% while enrollment soared 117%, according to the NCPSSM.

What is the Medicare doughnut hole?

The Medicare Doughnut Hole Returns. Since 2011 the ACA has been steadily closing the prescription drug coverage gap , known as the doughnut hole, in Medicare Part D by requiring drug manufacturers and insurers to pick up more of the cost.

Does Medicare Advantage charge more for chemo?

The ACA requires Medicare Advantage plans to spend 85% of premium dollars on health care, not profits or overhead. The plans also can’t charge more than traditional Medicare for chemotherapy , renal dialysis, skilled nursing care and other specialized services.

Which case challenged the Affordable Care Act?

The case, California v. Texas, which was filed by 20 Republican-leaning states, challenges whether the Affordable Care Act can exist without the individual mandate to buy health insurance. A Republican-controlled Congress removed the financial penalty for those without insurance in 2017.

Will Medicare premiums rise faster?

Medicare Premiums and Medicare Deductibles Will Rise Faster. Curbing provider payments also lowered costs for seniors, helping to keep Medicare Part A deductibles and copayments in check. Similarly, Part B premiums and deductibles are much lower than projected before the ACA became law.

How does repeal and replace affect insurance?

For a half-century, the federal and state governments have partnered to improve the accessibility and quality of care for tens of millions of low-income and medically vulnerable children and adults and have shared in the cost of this undertaking. If repeal-and-replace efforts curtail this partnership, consequences could include the loss of coverage for millions, but also a dismantling of transformation endeavors or removing incentives from future progress. Medicaid already is a comparatively efficient means of insuring the population; the CBO has estimated that Medicaid coverage costs one-third less than comparable coverage bought on the individual market using tax subsidies. 25 Efforts to reduce federal funding will serve only to impede further payment and delivery reforms.

How would Medicaid be transformed?

House of Representatives that would transform Medicaid, not only by eliminating enhanced federal funding for eligibility expansion but also by reducing the amount of funding states receive to run their traditional programs.

How many people are on medicaid in 2016?

According to government statistics, as of October 2016, Medicaid enrollment surpassed 74 million. More than 17 million people—an increase of 30 percent—gained eligibility since October 2013, just before full implementation of the ACA. Although 19 states have not yet chosen to adopt the ACA’s adult Medicaid eligibility expansion, ...

What is the American Health Care Act?

The American Health Care Act, reported by the House Energy and Commerce and Ways and Means committees in March 2017, would eliminate the ACA’s enhanced funding to support the expansion population, among other changes. The bill also would cap the amount paid by the federal government to states to support their overall Medicaid program, setting the cap at an amount below actual annual program growth costs, even though per person Medicaid spending is lower than that of either Medicare or private health insurance. The Congressional Budget Office has concluded that the loss of Medicaid funds at the enhanced rate for the expansion population (100% in 2014–2016, declining to 90% in 2020) to states’ normal federal Medicaid matching rates (ranging from 50% to 75%) would lead a number of states to eliminate coverage for the expansion population. 20 By 2026, less than one-third of all people eligible for coverage through the ACA expansion would live in a state that offers such coverage. The House measure also reduces Medicaid spending for community-based long-term services and supports and introduces new barriers to eligibility and enrollment. 21

How does fixed limit Medicaid funding help?

At least in theory, fixed limits on per person Medicaid funding could help foster innovation by encouraging strategies that substitute less costly but equally appropriate care, reduce excessive use of services of questionable value, or lower the price paid for care.

Is Medicaid a good way to insure the population?

Medicaid already is a comparatively efficient means of insuring the population; the CBO has estimated that Medicaid coverage costs one-third less than comparable coverage bought on the individual market using tax subsidies. 25 Efforts to reduce federal funding will serve only to impede further payment and delivery reforms.

Is Medicaid spending lower than Medicare?

Even without the introduction of federal spending caps, experts had projected that future Medicaid per person spending would be lower than spending for comparable services under either Medicare or private insurance. Medicaid spending is largely explained by enrollment.

image

Why Did The ACA Expand Medicaid?

What Coverage Is at Risk Under A Repeal of The Medicaid Expansion?

  • Under a repeal, many low-income parents and other adults could potentially lose eligibility for Medicaid. As of December 2016, 32 states including the District of Columbia implemented the ACA Medicaid expansion to adults. By January 2017, half (16) of the expansion states will have a Republican governor (Figure 1). Prior to the Medicaid expansion m...
See more on kff.org

What Financing Is at Risk Under A Repeal of The Medicaid Expansion?

  • The law provided enhanced federal funding for states to implement the Medicaid expansion. Under current law, Medicaid provides a guarantee to states for federal matching payments. The federal share of Medicaid is determined by a formula set in statute that is based on a state’s per capita income. The formula is designed so that the federal government pays a larger share of pr…
See more on kff.org

Conclusion

  • As a new Administration and Congress debate a repeal of the ACA, it is important context to note that many Americans have favorable opinions of many individual provisions in the ACA with 8 in 10 (and two-thirds of Trump voters) who have a favorable opinion of giving states the option of expanding their existing Medicaid program to cover more low-income uninsured.9Thirty-two stat…
See more on kff.org

A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9